Did America destroy its economy because of Doomsday models?

[Okiya]

Lets compare what the model from Washington University predicted would be the situation (post lockdown) on April 2nd vs the actual on April 2nd.

Model predicted that by April 2nd, there would be 121,000 Americans hospitalized. The actual number of hospitalizations in April was 31,142

Texas- Model predicted that 1,716 people would be hospitalized. The actual number was 196 people

Georgia- Model predicted 2,777 people would be hospitalized. The actual number was 952 people

Virginia- Model predicted 607 people would be hospitalized. The actual number was 305 people

Tennessee- Model predicted that 2,214 people would be hospitalized. The actual number was 200 people

New York- Model predicted that 50,962 people would be hospitalized. The actual number was 18,368

Again, nobody is denying Corona Virus is there. The fact is the media over hyped it with its headlines.
Anyway, lets wait and see.

 

[emali]

The fact is the media over hyped it with its headlines.

wasn't this trump's talk a few weeks ago?

 

[Mwalimu-G]

Kwani corona imeisha umefanya post mortem mapema hivi?

 

[Ngimanene na Muchere]

They have managed to avert a worse disaster because of Trump's response.... America should be grateful to their President

 

[Burner]

Lets compare what the model from Washington University predicted would be the situation (post lockdown) on April 2nd vs the actual on April 2nd.

Model predicted that by April 2nd, there would be 121,000 Americans hospitalized. The actual number of hospitalizations in April was 31,142

Texas- Model predicted that 1,716 people would be hospitalized. The actual number was 196 people

Georgia- Model predicted 2,777 people would be hospitalized. The actual number was 952 people

Virginia- Model predicted 607 people would be hospitalized. The actual number was 305 people

Tennessee- Model predicted that 2,214 people would be hospitalized. The actual number was 200 people

New York- Model predicted that 50,962 people would be hospitalized. The actual number was 18,368

Again, nobody is denying Corona Virus is there. The fact is the media over hyped it with its headlines.
Anyway, lets wait and see.

Please give a source for these numbers. Im looking at other sites and the numbers look different. I want to see what the discrepancy is

 

[Ice_Cube]

could the lockdown and quarantine have had averted the high figures? Maybe the figures were projections in case governments failed to act

 

[Nattydread]

Oh no! After a one day pause, doomsday researcher is back.

@Okiya, they're using trucks to carry corpses in New York. Have a bit of empathy and stop posting stupid conspiracy nonsense.

 

[Ngimanene na Muchere]

Oh no! After a one day pause, doomsday researcher is back.

@Okiya, they're using trucks to carry corpses in New York. Have a bit of empathy and stop posting stupid conspiracy nonsense.

They are way less bodies because of Trump taking action

 

[Burner]

@Okiya these are figures fro this site https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries as of yesterday

those are not good numbers. Mind you your figures are just those hospitalized. 18000 people being hospitalized for 1 particular disease in one state is insane. And remember, these are people who just need hospitalization (could be in ICU or maybe not). Now imagine all the other people in that 1 state who are just getting infected now and will be sicker in 8 days or so and will need hospitalization. This thing has taken over that we are forgetting hospitals need to take care of people with all manner of ailments let alone covid.

@Okiya you are getting hang up on the models. So fine, lets say that the models were wrong. Do you see how fucking serious the situation is regardless of what those wrong models say? It's not hype to say that the situation is dire.

 

[shocks]

@Okiya, are you at the verge of losing your job?

 

[Okiya]

@Okiya, are you at the verge of losing your job?

 

[Okiya]

Kwani corona imeisha umefanya post mortem mapema hivi?

Ndio maana nimesema model as of April 2nd.

 

[Okiya]

Please give a source for these numbers. Im looking at other sites and the numbers look different. I want to see what the discrepancy is

Model projection source:

IHME | COVID-19 Projections

Explore forecasts of COVID-19 cases, deaths, and hospital resource use.

covid19.healthdata.org

Actual data source:

The Data

Our most up-to-date data on COVID-19 in the US.

covidtracking.com

 

[Burner]

@Okiya don't you have a brother in the states? have you asked him about how things are on the ground especially in hospitals from what he is hearing from people in that field?

 

[Kabuda]

@Okiya ,I've been watching your contributions in the last few days and I'm going to tell you one thing.
You can't Wish this phenomenon away.
And the numbers you're working with?!...
I think you need to reboot your gadgets.

 

[Okiya]

Oh no! After a one day pause, doomsday researcher is back.

@Okiya, they're using trucks to carry corpses in New York. Have a bit of empathy and stop posting stupid conspiracy nonsense.

Who has denied that there are trucks of dead people?

 

[Okiya]

@Okiya don't you have a brother in the states? have you asked him about how things are on the ground especially in hospitals from what he is hearing from people in that field?

Hes told me hospitals in California are empty. No much activity.

 

[Okiya]

could the lockdown and quarantine have had averted the high figures? Maybe the figures were projections in case governments failed to act

The projections were made post quarantine.

 

[Burner]

Model projection source:

IHME | COVID-19 Projections

Explore forecasts of COVID-19 cases, deaths, and hospital resource use.

covid19.healthdata.org

Actual data source:

The Data

Our most up-to-date data on COVID-19 in the US.

covidtracking.com

I have looked at the two sites and either I am reading this wrong or @Okiya you are misrepresenting your own findings or simply cherry-picking data to suit your narrative while ignoring everything else. Let us look at a case like Texas. You said this:

8670[/ATTACH]
the actual figures:

While the number of those hospitalized stayed the same, the number of people of DIED doubled in two days since 30-march. The number of people confirmed positive nearly doubled in the same time period.

But hey, look at this:

The projection showed 78 DEATHS as of yesterday and those reported are 70.

I haven't looked into any of the other states that you mentioned or DIDN'T mention, but let's see if any other listers are up to the task and lets see what they find.

 

[Okiya]

I have looked at the two sites and either I am reading this wrong or @Okiya you are misrepresenting your own findings or simply cherry-picking data to suit your narrative while ignoring everything else. Let us look at a case like Texas. You said this:

Weka date ya Texas as April 1st and compare.

But according to the screenshot you have posted, Texas would be having 1,968 hospitalizations. But at the moment there are 196 hospitalizations