UDA winning strategy 1 year to go

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Elder Lister
  1. The focus will be on Kindiki. As the political debate continues, Mt. Kenya East is likely to feel increasingly betrayed by its cousins in the wider Mt. Kenya region. Gachagua’s language and political attacks against Kindiki will not help the situation.
  2. Sifuna is likely to rise in the polls, and by January, he could be ahead of Kalonzo. The conversation will then shift toward Matiang’i. Expect accusations of betrayal after the Mt. Kenya region previously promised to support Matiang’i for the presidency. As things currently stand, Matiang’i has little chance of securing the joint opposition presidential ticket.
  3. The next question will be who Sifuna chooses as his running mate. Some of the names likely to be mentioned include Irungu Kang’ata and Ndindi Nyoro, both would probably reject the offer. At that point, Sifuna may reconsider his presidential ambitions and instead seek re-election as Nairobi senator or accept the position of Kalonzo’s running mate. Once this happens, the Sifuna political wave is likely to fade naturally.
  4. Kalonzo will be on the presidential ballot, with Sifuna as his most probable running mate.
The main areas of political focus will be Mt. Kenya East, Western Kenya, and the Kisii region.

This is what we project the 2027 election map to look like

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