Field Marshal
Elder Lister
Consider this official; the Covid-19 will in the next 2 weeks become a global pandemic, with infections and deaths recorded on all continents. The WHO will declare it as such.
In Africa, only two countries - Egypt and Algeria - have reported cases, but it is widely suspected that countries like Kenya and Ethiopia already have on-going infections.
What, you may ask, will be the impact.
This is what Guka Predicts.
The global economy will take a beating, with stock markets around the globe losing trilions of dollars. Millions in fragile economes will sink into poverty (Hong Kong is already giving every adult $1200 to try and mitigate the crisis).
In countries like Kenya, South Africa and Botswana, where millions are already immuno-compromised by tropical diseases and HIV, millions will die in the next 3 years before the pandemic burns itself out.
Globally, at an average 2% mortality rate (normal flu has a mortality rate less than 0.2%), Covid may cause anywhere between 10-20 million deaths in the next three years (In comparison, HIV has killed about 35 million in the last 40 years). Most will be in poor countries in Africa, Asia and Latin America where health systems run the risk of being overwhelmed.
There is, of course, the risk that Covid may mutate and become more lethal or more infectitious. There are no models that predict for this possibility, but one can rightly say that if this happens, a historic readjustment of the human population may take place.
Brace yourselves for the ride!
In Africa, only two countries - Egypt and Algeria - have reported cases, but it is widely suspected that countries like Kenya and Ethiopia already have on-going infections.
What, you may ask, will be the impact.
This is what Guka Predicts.
The global economy will take a beating, with stock markets around the globe losing trilions of dollars. Millions in fragile economes will sink into poverty (Hong Kong is already giving every adult $1200 to try and mitigate the crisis).
In countries like Kenya, South Africa and Botswana, where millions are already immuno-compromised by tropical diseases and HIV, millions will die in the next 3 years before the pandemic burns itself out.
Globally, at an average 2% mortality rate (normal flu has a mortality rate less than 0.2%), Covid may cause anywhere between 10-20 million deaths in the next three years (In comparison, HIV has killed about 35 million in the last 40 years). Most will be in poor countries in Africa, Asia and Latin America where health systems run the risk of being overwhelmed.
There is, of course, the risk that Covid may mutate and become more lethal or more infectitious. There are no models that predict for this possibility, but one can rightly say that if this happens, a historic readjustment of the human population may take place.
Brace yourselves for the ride!
Kwa hivyo wazee wa hii kijiji waaanze kuandika will?