Matiangi the sixth in Kisii

Cortedivoire

Cortedivoire

Elder Lister
Staff member
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Matiang'i ndio mtu anatishia Ruto ile mbaya kabisa. Bora acheze chini for now hadi opposition ishikane na ichaguwe nani flag bearer. Alafu watu wavote between a real and a fake PhD. By the way Ruto hajawai ajiriwa na mtu yeyote. Because he is not employable.
Despite the misgivings that people might be having, if he is the tool capable of getting rid of Ruto, it would be a step in the right direction. We have to give him some thought considering that Ruto might easily confuse rural folks with money.
 
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I expect the following things.

1. A hurriedly convened meeting for Kisii MPs at statehouse.
2. A hurriedly organised tour to Kisii to reopen some projects that had been opened by Uhuru.
3. Appointment of key people from Kisii to government. That education minister is not adding any political value to Mr. one term.
4. A flurry of Anti Matiang'i tweets. They know huyu ndio kiboko ya Must Go.
5. Raila kufinywa makende or kupewa a big bundle of cash if Simba Arati is spotted with Matiang'i today.
6. More tears inside the statehouse toilet
 
Gachagua and his cronies will with time gravitate towards matiangi and that Is where the rubber will meet the road for one SKM and the pressure will begin

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For me, never again will I settle for the best of the worst. Will he tackle the issue of odious debt? How, if he's a Uhuru project? He cannot go after his former boss.

The debt burden will still hang around the necks of kenyans for decades to come. Kenyans still enslaved by debt to offshore entities, one of which Matiang'i worked for before coming back to the country

After what this regime has shown us, real fundamental change to kenyan politics is what is needed. Uhuruto is a bad dream that needs to be forgotten, as people embrace the spirit and the letter of the constitution for a better country.

Gen Zs didn't give their lives just so that another set of tumbocrats is rewarded with plum jobs in govt.

 
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DeepInYourMind said:
For me, never again will I settle for the best of the worst. Will he tackle the issue of odious debt? How, if he's a Uhuru project? He cannot go after his former boss.

The debt burden will still hang around the necks of kenyans for decades to come. Kenyans still enslaved by debt to offshore entities, one of which Matiang'i worked for before coming back to the country

After what this regime has shown us, real fundamental change to kenyan politics is what is needed. Uhuruto is a bad dream that needs to be forgotten, as people embrace the spirit and the letter of the constitution for a better country.

Gen Zs didn't give their lives just so that another set of tumbocrats is rewarded with plum jobs in govt.

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Its either him or hasora. There has to be a lesser sin.
As per how things are, we are in deep shiet that cant be fixed within 30 yrs
 
If Fred Matiang’i (FM) gets support from Lower Eastern and the Mt. Kenya Region in his 2027 presidential bid, he may be a major frontrunner

Let’s look at the data
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1. In 2022, there were 22 Million Registered Voters, and in the 2027 Elections, this number is likely to hit 26 Million (lets forget the additional 4M and use the 22M)

2. Of the 22 Million Voters in 2022, 8.43 Million (or about 38%) were from the three regions of Kisii Nyanza (960k, 1.70M for Lower Eastern and 5.77M for Mt. Kenya)

3. So, if the three regions vote to the last for FM, he will then be starting at nearly 38%, and hence will be in need of 12% to get the 50%+1

4. On the same vein we assume William Ruto (WSR) gets to the last man the votes from Kalenjin Rift (2.43M), Luo Nyanza (2.16M), Coast (1.96M) and North Eastern (0.88M)

5. So WSR will be starting the race at 7.44M which is about 33% of the registered voters, and hence will be in need of another 17% to meet the 50%+1

6. With Points (2) and (5) above, then FM would be starting the race with 1 Million more than WSR

7. Now, up for grabs will be the remainder 6.23 Million voters from the following regions (Western – 2.62M, Nairobi – 2.42M, Kajiado+Narok – 0.96M and Turkana – 0.24M)

8. For WSR to catch FM with the 1M deficit, he would then need to get at least 60% of the 6.23M in Bullet 7 above, this way, they both will play out like WSR and RAO in 2022 where both would be roughly at 50%

9. Now, the above assumes that the voters turn-out would be 100% across the voting blocks, which is not statistically impossible

10. Unfortunately, some regions identified as WSR strongholds (Bullet 4) have over the elections recorded low turn-outs e.g. in 2022, turn-out was lowest in Coast (51%)

11. Similarly, the battleground regions in Bullet 7 have also returned low turn-outs in elections. For instance, in 2022, Nairobi’s Turn-Out in 2022 was 55%, Western was 62% and Turkana was 60%

12. On the other hand, Lower Eastern has also returned lower turn-outs probably for playing second in the past successive elections. In 2022, the turn-out was 61% compared to the national average of 64%

13. Low turn-outs in either of each candidates strongholds works against them

The below table is a simulation I have done based on the above, but taking into account the voters turn-out (mainly basing on 2022&2017 data).

In the table, I assume WSR gets every cast vote in Coast, Kalenjin Rift, Luo Nyanza and North Eastern, while FM gets every cast vote in Mt. Kenya, Lower Eastern and Kisii Nyanza. In addition, I assume 50-50 in Nairobi and Kajiado-Narok, and a 70% for WSR in Turkana and Western

NB: The above assumes Raila support WSR

#DataSpeaks

Source: Elijah Samuel
 
Eng'iti said:
Its either him or hasora. There has to be a lesser sin.
As per how things are, we are in deep shiet that cant be fixed within 30 yrs
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It is not either him or kasongo. That is how kenyans are usually brainwashed with an illusion of choice by the establishment. Matiangi is a Uhuru project, and a trainee of the foreign entities interested in controlling Kenyans. You have no idea how Kenya's and Africa's population growth is an asset that they covet, as the numbers in their own countries is dwindling. Kasongo himself is subservient to them.

I can tell you for a fact many who have escaped the kenya kwisha sinking ship will join the Uhuru/Matiangi bandwagon and will be accepted. Do you think you'll have a new vision and direction, instead of the same old monkeys in a different forest? From day one it will be about recouping campaign costs.

At this point almost anyone else on the ballot can win. But what is really needed is an overhaul.
 
mzeiya said:
If Fred Matiang’i (FM) gets support from Lower Eastern and the Mt. Kenya Region in his 2027 presidential bid, he may be a major frontrunner

Let’s look at the data
View attachment 105623

1. In 2022, there were 22 Million Registered Voters, and in the 2027 Elections, this number is likely to hit 26 Million (lets forget the additional 4M and use the 22M)

2. Of the 22 Million Voters in 2022, 8.43 Million (or about 38%) were from the three regions of Kisii Nyanza (960k, 1.70M for Lower Eastern and 5.77M for Mt. Kenya)

3. So, if the three regions vote to the last for FM, he will then be starting at nearly 38%, and hence will be in need of 12% to get the 50%+1

4. On the same vein we assume William Ruto (WSR) gets to the last man the votes from Kalenjin Rift (2.43M), Luo Nyanza (2.16M), Coast (1.96M) and North Eastern (0.88M)

5. So WSR will be starting the race at 7.44M which is about 33% of the registered voters, and hence will be in need of another 17% to meet the 50%+1

6. With Points (2) and (5) above, then FM would be starting the race with 1 Million more than WSR

7. Now, up for grabs will be the remainder 6.23 Million voters from the following regions (Western – 2.62M, Nairobi – 2.42M, Kajiado+Narok – 0.96M and Turkana – 0.24M)

8. For WSR to catch FM with the 1M deficit, he would then need to get at least 60% of the 6.23M in Bullet 7 above, this way, they both will play out like WSR and RAO in 2022 where both would be roughly at 50%

9. Now, the above assumes that the voters turn-out would be 100% across the voting blocks, which is not statistically impossible

10. Unfortunately, some regions identified as WSR strongholds (Bullet 4) have over the elections recorded low turn-outs e.g. in 2022, turn-out was lowest in Coast (51%)

11. Similarly, the battleground regions in Bullet 7 have also returned low turn-outs in elections. For instance, in 2022, Nairobi’s Turn-Out in 2022 was 55%, Western was 62% and Turkana was 60%

12. On the other hand, Lower Eastern has also returned lower turn-outs probably for playing second in the past successive elections. In 2022, the turn-out was 61% compared to the national average of 64%

13. Low turn-outs in either of each candidates strongholds works against them

The below table is a simulation I have done based on the above, but taking into account the voters turn-out (mainly basing on 2022&2017 data).

In the table, I assume WSR gets every cast vote in Coast, Kalenjin Rift, Luo Nyanza and North Eastern, while FM gets every cast vote in Mt. Kenya, Lower Eastern and Kisii Nyanza. In addition, I assume 50-50 in Nairobi and Kajiado-Narok, and a 70% for WSR in Turkana and Western

NB: The above assumes Raila support WSR

#DataSpeaks

Source: Elijah Samuel
Click to expand...
Tribal math now is like that guy you posted who was pushing 'keys' that predicted Kamala would win the US elections.
 
DeepInYourMind said:
It is not either him or kasongo. That is how kenyans are usually brainwashed with an illusion of choice by the establishment. Matiangi is a Uhuru project, and a trainee of the foreign entities interested in controlling Kenyans. You have no idea how Kenya's and Africa's population growth is an asset that they covet, as the numbers in their own countries is dwindling. Kasongo himself is subservient to them.

I can tell you for a fact many who have escaped the kenya kwisha sinking ship will join the Uhuru/Matiangi bandwagon and will be accepted. Do you think you'll have a new vision and direction, instead of the same old monkeys in a different forest? From day one it will be about recouping campaign costs.

At this point almost anyone else on the ballot can win. But what is really needed is an overhaul.
Click to expand...
In as much we want a total overhaul, remember the mentality of the voter, no Kenyan will vote for someone who isn't familiar to them. And that person shouldn't be broke
 
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DeepInYourMind said:
It is not either him or kasongo. That is how kenyans are usually brainwashed with an illusion of choice by the establishment. Matiangi is a Uhuru project, and a trainee of the foreign entities interested in controlling Kenyans. You have no idea how Kenya's and Africa's population growth is an asset that they covet, as the numbers in their own countries is dwindling. Kasongo himself is subservient to them.

I can tell you for a fact many who have escaped the kenya kwisha sinking ship will join the Uhuru/Matiangi bandwagon and will be accepted. Do you think you'll have a new vision and direction, instead of the same old monkeys in a different forest? From day one it will be about recouping campaign costs.

At this point almost anyone else on the ballot can win. But what is really needed is an overhaul.
Click to expand...
Ideally, we all would want to have a fresh start with new faces. But how practical is that as the situation stands? You saw Ruto spending millions just to be seen with crowds in central. That is the first step to hoodwinking the rest of the country that he is still popular in a region where people believe he has the least support.

Risking another Ruto term by pursuing ideals could be too costly for everyone. You and me and another might vote for a new face but what good will it do if Ruto can buy 20 other villagers? As someone said, if we have to go for regional arithmetic to remove Ruto, it will be forgivable because if we don't, it will take us about 20 years to recover from the damage he will cause.

Lastly, Kenyans have been emboldened a great deal and will resist and call out anyone who acts against their interests. That spirit is not about to die. Gradually, people will have the leadership they deserve. By electing Ruto, people were expressing that desire. Only that he turned out to be worse than the bad we know. Ruto has collected enough money to buy entire regions and he is intent on using it. So, we are facing an extraordinary situation that might require compromises.
 
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Eng'iti said:
In as much we want a total overhaul, remember the mentality of the voter, no Kenyan will vote for someone who isn't familiar to them. And that person shouldn't be broke
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Kenyans have voted for many non-establishment candidates in the past. Even Okiya is one of them, he was elected on his track record and not for being KK or Azimio. Kenyans are smarter and more realistic than you think
 
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