wrongturn
Elder Lister
There is also the One Kenya Alliance (OKA). Do they have a chance?
You see, Kenya politics is not the kind a stranger can come and mess up with. Kenyans elect people they know and the only ones they know properly today are Ruto and Raila. One Kenya Alliance has zero chance on earth. First, they will not agree among themselves as to who will be their presidential candidate. Mudavadi is hell-bent on running as is Kalonzo Musyoka. Gideon, I think to be fair to him, cannot bring even 5,000 votes. At the moment he would even struggle to win an MCA seat in Baringo. Apart from the name recognition, there is nothing else. Wetang’ula is slightly better than Gideon but doesn’t fare much better.
My view is that One Kenya Alliance is a mirage. It is a waste of time. If they want to be relevant and be in government, they must join either of the two sides. The third option is political wilderness.
Does Raila stand a chance in 2022?
Yes and no. Elections are about numbers and in Kenya, those numbers come in the form of tribes. If you want to know if Raila will win elections, you should ask which tribes are supporting him now. If he becomes a candidate who is being supported by One Kenya Alliance, he has a good chance of winning because he will bring together his traditional base and the support by the president. But Raila’s candidature faces two fundamental issues: one is that it is now easy to portray him as a project of Uhuru or Uhuru’s third term. That man Kenyans used to believe would change the status quo and overthrow the system now has become the system’s candidate. That is the biggest problem Raila is facing. Two, he needs to build an ethnic power base. He must bring back the Luhyas and Kambas or he must have an assurance that central will give him a big chunk of the votes.
In your view, would DP Ruto make a good president than his current boss, Uhuru Kenyatta?
If you asked me this question in 2013, I would have said no. To be fair, during those times, I was an Uhuru man. If you asked me this same question in 2017, I think I would have said that Uhuru is the right man for this country.
But I think the proper political education of Ruto started after the ‘handshake’. I think he has seen how humbling it is when you are not in power, how unfair you can be treated, and what abuse of constitutional power is. I hope and think he has learnt the importance of checks and balances. I hope he has learnt a very good lesson what an independent Judiciary is, something he did not know or appreciate before the ‘handshake’. Any person who went through such baptism of fire will change. I think, but not sure, that what he has gone through has changed his political DNA.
nation.africa
You see, Kenya politics is not the kind a stranger can come and mess up with. Kenyans elect people they know and the only ones they know properly today are Ruto and Raila. One Kenya Alliance has zero chance on earth. First, they will not agree among themselves as to who will be their presidential candidate. Mudavadi is hell-bent on running as is Kalonzo Musyoka. Gideon, I think to be fair to him, cannot bring even 5,000 votes. At the moment he would even struggle to win an MCA seat in Baringo. Apart from the name recognition, there is nothing else. Wetang’ula is slightly better than Gideon but doesn’t fare much better.
My view is that One Kenya Alliance is a mirage. It is a waste of time. If they want to be relevant and be in government, they must join either of the two sides. The third option is political wilderness.
Does Raila stand a chance in 2022?
Yes and no. Elections are about numbers and in Kenya, those numbers come in the form of tribes. If you want to know if Raila will win elections, you should ask which tribes are supporting him now. If he becomes a candidate who is being supported by One Kenya Alliance, he has a good chance of winning because he will bring together his traditional base and the support by the president. But Raila’s candidature faces two fundamental issues: one is that it is now easy to portray him as a project of Uhuru or Uhuru’s third term. That man Kenyans used to believe would change the status quo and overthrow the system now has become the system’s candidate. That is the biggest problem Raila is facing. Two, he needs to build an ethnic power base. He must bring back the Luhyas and Kambas or he must have an assurance that central will give him a big chunk of the votes.
In your view, would DP Ruto make a good president than his current boss, Uhuru Kenyatta?
If you asked me this question in 2013, I would have said no. To be fair, during those times, I was an Uhuru man. If you asked me this same question in 2017, I think I would have said that Uhuru is the right man for this country.
But I think the proper political education of Ruto started after the ‘handshake’. I think he has seen how humbling it is when you are not in power, how unfair you can be treated, and what abuse of constitutional power is. I hope and think he has learnt the importance of checks and balances. I hope he has learnt a very good lesson what an independent Judiciary is, something he did not know or appreciate before the ‘handshake’. Any person who went through such baptism of fire will change. I think, but not sure, that what he has gone through has changed his political DNA.
Ahmednasir Abdullahi: The trouble with Uhuru, Raila and Ruto
Abdullahi speaks on his time in the JSC, his views on the Judiciary past and present.
nation.africa