We've not forgotten you told us that February we'll see things. Anyway, I'm friends with two MPs from Murima. One from Kiambu another from Kirinyaga and they tell me they won't defend their seats- ground ni chafu. Murima is gone.
I will vote for Matiangi for only this reason
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Elder Lister
Name your candidate mine is William Ruto
It's too early for me to decide who I'll vote for. All I know is that well have a new president and he may not necessarily be the one ill vote
Young_Turk
Elder Lister
Not the Rift Valley
Huko pia president is losing support.
Pia kule kwa Raila, cracks are forming.
Ama its only Okuyu that matter?
Young_Turk
Elder Lister
Denis Young
Elder Lister
I wish you heard the way people were speaking about Uhuru as we approached the 2022 elections. But somehow he harvested 1 million plus votes.
Gachagua is just going to be a village politician, trying to pick up mp and senator seats in central kenya. Unfortunately for him, he will face stiff competition from Uhuru who will want to do the same. Guess where the candidates will gravitate?
Young_Turk
Elder Lister
Hii ni political analysis za hapo kwa base ya jaba
Will those candidates campaign for Ruto?
Hehe.
Ata Okiya Omtata, your name sake, hapati chance?
It's too early for me to decide. Other better candidates may come up.
Denis Young
Elder Lister
No! They will campaign for Matiangi. Which brings us back to the 2022 mathematics yet again.
Uhuru's puppet, Matiangi, is rumoured to be taking Muhoho as his deputy. All these clowns surrounding Gachagua will automatically gravitate towards that direction.
Like I said a few months ago, as is, I am expecting apathy in mt kenya again. It will be more clear as we approach the elections in 2027.
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Elder Lister
Exactly, Matiangi is their candidate, but where we will likely see the most apathy is Ukambani those guys are tired i dont know what Kalonzo will tell them, and then there is Karua once she makes up her mind kwisha
Denis Young
Elder Lister
First of all, any woman who vies on the basis of her gender is a bottom barrel leader.
I wouldn't agree completely about Ukambani having apathy, but it is likely to be a battle ground. Kalonzo is being cannibalized by younger leaders and if those leaders back Ruto, Kalonzo's utility is really going to decline.
Young_Turk
Elder Lister
I for one I'm excited of a potential Martha Karua Presidency
Anyone with the balls to stand up against the tide of stupidity has my vote.
All the Best Mhesh
Ngimanene Na Malege
Lister
Oh my word, @pop in the last remaining anus licker, have you seen the light? Is it blinding?
So if they campaign for Matiang'i doesn't that mean that Murima is gone from Ruto?
You think there's any sane person in Central who will vie on Matiangi's party and expect to win? Murima is locked by Gachagua It's bitter but you have to swallow that pill.
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Elder Lister
The trend has been downwards for UKambani at only 60% in 2022 . Another elephant in the room is the running mate question who will be Matiangi's running mate
Raila and Kalonzo's fallout with the county's governor, Alfred Mutua. In Makueni, Raila got 229,187 votes while in Kitui, he received 235,408 votes.
Constituency-wise, the former Prime Minister gained the most from Mbooni Constituency in Machakos County (50,649) followed by Machakos Town (50,114) and Makueni Constituency (48,774).Out of the 1,699,724 registered voters in the three counties, 1,030,292 individuals turned up to vote representing a 60 per cent turnout. 8,924 votes were, however, spoilt.
Ati Kalonzo is being cannibalised by younger leaders? Which ones? Mutuse? I can bet in 2002 you were too young to remember the anti Moi wave building up. Ask your folks and they will tell you the anti Ruto wave is bigger than 2002 anti Moi.
Having spent 5 years as president, what will be Ruto's campaign agenda in 2027 in Ukambani? In 2017 Uhuru would be told he's corrupt but would counter by saying he's built roads, SGR, port, and electricity. Your candidate has zero to tell people.
Denis Young
Elder Lister
Couldn't the lower turnout be explained by Kalonzo's 'betrayal' by Raila. They expected him to be the running mate but once relegated to a junior position, the must have felt disenfranchised.
Denis Young
Elder Lister
That is oversimplification. Ruto has never had to go through murima leaders to market himself. He has always done his own leg work, case in point, the recent development tour. While you can say that Ruto is likely to get fewer votes from murima, he will get a decent portion and that will be all he needs to beat the 50+1 threshold.
Furthermore, there is nothing like Matiangi's party. If it is not Jubilee, it will be another briefcase party modeled after Jubilee. It will be a Murima party. Gachagua will be inconsequential in 2027.
You spend so much time on social media ndio maana you draw such exaggerated conclusions. If there is something that is positively clear is that there is a huge constituency of silent Ruto supporters. It is only at the height of the 2027 campaigns, when people are forced to take a side, that you will hear your closest friends say, "Ukinipatia Ruto ama Matiangi, afadhali tuendelee tu na Ruto".