US Election Watch

O

Okiya

Elder Lister
Main stream media says Kamala is winning but it seems Trump anabeba hii kitu going by what betting odds are predicting.

Anyway, mimi sijali. All I know is someone will not win AUC in Feb 2025 and there's a humanoid who will be a one term.

20241105_192152.jpg
 
Beting odds can be easily gamed if a big bet is placed on one side, msema kweli is a few hours away
 
Obama in 2008 & 2012 got 98% & 95% of the black vote. He almost lost 2012 to Romney.

In 2016, Hillary polled lower in Pennsylvania than Obama before her in the overall votes cast in that state. She lost to Trump.

In 2020, Biden beat Trump by a razor thin margin in Pennsylvania. He flipped Georgia and North Carolina, which are traditionally red and saw him win that election. Georgia & North Carolina are leaning Trump in this election.

In 2024, Kamala would have to match Obama's turnout, especially for the black voters, especially in Pennsylvania to beat Trump and do better than Biden in 2020. She is nowhere close to those numbers.

The economy & immigration are the biggest issues this election. Trump has made up some ground in the black and Hispanic voters in Pennsylvania than in prior elections. Kamala is struggling here.

Possibility than either could win. I'm calling it for Trump.
 
Trump only needs Pennsylvania Georgia and North Carolina and he is home and dry Kamla flips one of the and it might be a long night
 
Too early to call coz ni kama strongholds za trump zinaenda zikiisha ...halafu kamala tharaka nithi ianze kuingia.
 
Swansea said:
Obama in 2008 & 2012 got 98% & 95% of the black vote. He almost lost 2012 to Romney.

In 2016, Hillary polled lower in Pennsylvania than Obama before her in the overall votes cast in that state. She lost to Trump.

In 2020, Biden beat Trump by a razor thin margin in Pennsylvania. He flipped Georgia and North Carolina, which are traditionally red and saw him win that election. Georgia & North Carolina are leaning Trump in this election.

In 2024, Kamala would have to match Obama's turnout, especially for the black voters, especially in Pennsylvania to beat Trump and do better than Biden in 2020. She is nowhere close to those numbers.

The economy & immigration are the biggest issues this election. Trump has made up some ground in the black and Hispanic voters in Pennsylvania than in prior elections. Kamala is struggling here.

Possibility than either could win. I'm calling it for Trump.
Click to expand...
Pennsylvania mfukoni

 
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